Scenarios of the organic food market in Europe

R. Zanoli*, D. Gambelli and D. Vairo

Abstract
Scenario analysis is a qualitative tool for strategic policy analysis that enables researchers and policymakers to support decision making, and a systemic analysis of the main determinants of a business or sector.

In this study, a scenario analysis is developed regarding the future development of the market of organic food products in Europe. The scenario follows a participatory approach, exploiting potential interactions among the relevant driving forces, as selected by experts. Network analysis is used to identify the roles of driving forces in the different scenarios, and the results are discussed in comparison with the main findings from existing scenarios on the future development of the organic sector.


Source
Food Policy (2012) 37: 41-57
DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2011.10.003


Author Locations and Affiliations
Università Politecnica delle Marche, Via Brecce Bianche, 60131 Ancona, Italy
* Corresponding author, E-mail zanoli@agrecon.univpm.it


Posted January 2012